Kristin Devlin's Orange County Real Estate Blog: Orange County Home Shortage?
Kristin Devlin's Orange County Real Estate Blog: Orange County Home Shortage?

Monday, July 30, 2012

Orange County Home Shortage?

The Los Angeles Times reports:  “the latest problem for the slowly improving housing market isn't a shortage of serious buyers, but a shortage of good homes.  Would-be buyers are packing open houses and scrambling to make offers on properties before they are even listed. Bidding wars are erupting. And real estate agents are vying fiercely to represent the few sellers that do exist.
Housing inventory has sunk to levels not seen since the bubble years. The number of American homes with a "for sale" sign hit 2.5 million in April, the lowest for an April since 2006.
The sharp drop in inventory along with rock-bottom interest rates have helped stabilize even some of the hardest-hit markets, including the Southland, Las Vegas, Phoenix and Miami. Some real estate professionals are concerned that the lack of inventory might turn off potential buyers, stifling the recent recovery in home sales.
The much-predicted foreclosure wave that was expected to dump more homes onto the market has not materialized. Fewer borrowers are entering default, and banks are better managing the properties they do have on their books.  In addition, professional investors bankrolled by private equity firms and hedge funds are pouncing on bank-owned homes, often turning them into rentals.
A dearth of new construction also is constraining supply. In April the number of completed new single-family homes available for sale stood at 46,000, the lowest level since 1973. Some 70,000 were under construction, also near historic lows.
The inventory problem has been exacerbated by the plunge in home prices since the go-go years. Many people who bought at the top of the cycle are so deeply underwater, they can't get the price they need to sell and are therefore not bothering to put their homes on the market.  "We know negative equity holds back home sales" said Sam Khater, an economist with CoreLogic, a company that tracks the mortgage market.
The lack of available homes is maddening for those consumers who thought 2012 would be the year to buy.  In Southern California, inventories have plunged over the last year. The number of homes listed for sale in April fell 35% in Los Angeles County and was down 42% in Orange, 39% in San Bernardino, 42% in Riverside, 53% in Ventura and 43% in San Diego counties, according to online brokerage Redfin.
The number of days a home sits on the market has also decreased, meaning properties are selling faster. For the entire six-county Southern California region, the median number of days a home sat on the market fell to 33 last April from 43 the same month a year earlier.

# posted by Kristin Shimaji-Devlin @ 12:17 PM


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